Over the last 10 years since the financial crisis western societies have been lamenting growing inequalities and populists of the right or left have been surfing this wave of discontent. I have for a long time thought that we should put into place a universal income which would be paid to all legal residents over 18 irrespective of their income or situation. If this income were set at 500€ per month per person for example that would cost 307 Billion €, which is 12% of the current French GDP of 2,500 Billion €. Since most people agree that the level of taxation in France is already quite high they might ask how will we finance this ?
We need to find 310 Billion (let's round it up). If everybody is guaranteed a minimum income of 500€ per month irrespective of any other income they may have I believe we could remove other items of expenditure:
- Unemployment spending becomes redundant: 95 Billion € in savings
- Family policies are no longer needed: 50 Billion €
- Housing subsidies become irrelevant: 50 Billion €
- Spending on professional training could be divided by 2 : 15 Billion €
That brings us to 210 Billion € which means we have to find another 100 billion €. The total amount spent on retirement is 300 billion €. Since the over 65s would be receiving 500 € per month extra you could restructure pension amounts to take that into account which would save another 78 Billion €.
The final cost would be 22 Billion € which I believe we could probably save from the health, prison and education budgets as people would be happier and healthier.
Now that we have agreed that this would cost nothing I would like to point out the real benefits of this reform:
- Unemployment does not exist anymore. Since you receive universal income irrespective of your status you do not need to declare yourself "unemployed". I believe this is an important psychological benefit.
- There are no more threshold effects were people don't want to work on small jobs or part time as they may lose existing benefits and end up worse off.
- The "stigma" of being dependent on the state is removed since everybody receives it from the richest to the poorest with no exceptions.
- People would be more willing to take career breaks and pursue their own projects is they felt that was a permanent (even if basic) safety net in case of failure.
- Finally this major simplification of our redistribution system would probably generate significant savings in our state administration.
When I stand for President this will be the first point on my programme.
I wish France's economy were that big... Still, I enjoy the quick maths https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HbhI0axHyZs
ReplyDeleteI went to a UBI meetup in 2017 where I met Andrew Yang, a guy who's running for president as a single issue candidate based entirely around UBI. He doesn't stand a chance, but his campaign may be able to raise awareness about it
Corrected to 2.5 Trillion!
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